What is "technical expertise":
The technical expertise is based on the mass psychology described by methods statisticans on the basis of supervision over behaviour of the investor in stock market.
The technical expertise is based on the mass psychology described by methods statisticans on the basis of supervision over behaviour of the investor in stock market.
When it is applicable?
When in the market very much great volume many players with volumes of means at each of players of much less volume of the market and and during quiet times operate. When there is no forsmazhorov. That is, when work both mass psychology and statistics.
When in the market very much great volume many players with volumes of means at each of players of much less volume of the market and and during quiet times operate. When there is no forsmazhorov. That is, when work both mass psychology and statistics.
What is "fundmental"?
These are circumstances of force insuperable to the separate investor, and independent of its will. For example, weather in agricultural production regions, war, acts of nature. Decisions of state bodies and the unions of the states. Change of duties and taxes. Etc.
Clear boundary when action of a technical expertise comes to an end and action of the fundamental factor begins is not present. For example, the exit on the market of the large player can bring human factor and not fall under action of methods of social psychology. Thus, this influence on the market can be carried to fundamentalu. And as actions of the large player, as well as any person, are often caused by influence of mass consciousness it is possible to bring them and under technical expertise formulas. Or a mass panic in the market, caused by the massed propagation in mass-media of fast crash or on the contrary – unknown growth. It is the objective factor, or a case of display of the mass psychology, giving in to the statistical analysis?
These are circumstances of force insuperable to the separate investor, and independent of its will. For example, weather in agricultural production regions, war, acts of nature. Decisions of state bodies and the unions of the states. Change of duties and taxes. Etc.
Clear boundary when action of a technical expertise comes to an end and action of the fundamental factor begins is not present. For example, the exit on the market of the large player can bring human factor and not fall under action of methods of social psychology. Thus, this influence on the market can be carried to fundamentalu. And as actions of the large player, as well as any person, are often caused by influence of mass consciousness it is possible to bring them and under technical expertise formulas. Or a mass panic in the market, caused by the massed propagation in mass-media of fast crash or on the contrary – unknown growth. It is the objective factor, or a case of display of the mass psychology, giving in to the statistical analysis?
When does not operate fundamental?
Fundamental on the markets operates always!
Fundamental on the markets operates always!
When the technical expertise does not operate?
The technical expertise does not operate always when interferes fundamental. The technical expertise does not operate, when the means, at the disposal of the concrete player are comparable to volume of all market. It occurs at a strong exhaustion of the market or at calling on the market of very large investor. For example, the State Bank or large fund. The technical expertise does not operate, when on the market the massed propagation of mass-media presses. The technical expertise does not operate during world crises. When on the market start to press all factors set forth above.
In our crisis time better to say when the technical expertise operates. And it operates in that short time interval when people temporarily forget about crisis (long nobody killed, there were no accidents etc.) when in the market large players temporarily cease to be interested and when mass-media lose interest to this market. This period during our crisis time happens very much not long. And it is not frequent. Especially, in the gold market.
The technical expertise does not operate always when interferes fundamental. The technical expertise does not operate, when the means, at the disposal of the concrete player are comparable to volume of all market. It occurs at a strong exhaustion of the market or at calling on the market of very large investor. For example, the State Bank or large fund. The technical expertise does not operate, when on the market the massed propagation of mass-media presses. The technical expertise does not operate during world crises. When on the market start to press all factors set forth above.
In our crisis time better to say when the technical expertise operates. And it operates in that short time interval when people temporarily forget about crisis (long nobody killed, there were no accidents etc.) when in the market large players temporarily cease to be interested and when mass-media lose interest to this market. This period during our crisis time happens very much not long. And it is not frequent. Especially, in the gold market.
Whether it is possible to trust a technical expertise at this time at least?
Respond in the beginning to a question: whether you can trust yourselves? The matter is that for a technical expertise the investor chooses a piece of the schedule of the price itself. It is possible to choose for last 30 years, and it is possible for last 30 days. And it is possible not for the last, and where that in the middle. The person will unconsciously choose that piece which most of all responds its expectations and hopes. And, manipulating pieces of the schedule of the price, and also various techniques, it is possible to receive any forecast, it is necessary for what soul. And then to be surprised, why it I so was mistaken?
Respond in the beginning to a question: whether you can trust yourselves? The matter is that for a technical expertise the investor chooses a piece of the schedule of the price itself. It is possible to choose for last 30 years, and it is possible for last 30 days. And it is possible not for the last, and where that in the middle. The person will unconsciously choose that piece which most of all responds its expectations and hopes. And, manipulating pieces of the schedule of the price, and also various techniques, it is possible to receive any forecast, it is necessary for what soul. And then to be surprised, why it I so was mistaken?
Whether it is possible to trust analysts of the market of gold from mass-media?
It is impossible. Mass-media at us are used not for informing of the population and for manipulation with the population and, hence, share rankami in interests of different groups of influence. But if in other stock markets interests of different groups of influence are various, (one increase is favourable, another fall is favourable and it is possible to make a correct picture of the different points of view if to know true interests of groups of influence which have ordered the information for mass-media) that concerning the market of gold interests are uniform. All states and all emitters of actions are interested in that the population and all investors have forgotten about gold. Also were interrupted by their securities. Therefore, forecasts for the gold price always one: as shchas all will fail! Therefore the recipe such: if there is a mass propagation – listen and make on the contrary. If mass propagation is not present, but in mass-media has slipped what that opinion simply listen. Also think: who could order it and that he achieves. And further do conclusions.
It is impossible. Mass-media at us are used not for informing of the population and for manipulation with the population and, hence, share rankami in interests of different groups of influence. But if in other stock markets interests of different groups of influence are various, (one increase is favourable, another fall is favourable and it is possible to make a correct picture of the different points of view if to know true interests of groups of influence which have ordered the information for mass-media) that concerning the market of gold interests are uniform. All states and all emitters of actions are interested in that the population and all investors have forgotten about gold. Also were interrupted by their securities. Therefore, forecasts for the gold price always one: as shchas all will fail! Therefore the recipe such: if there is a mass propagation – listen and make on the contrary. If mass propagation is not present, but in mass-media has slipped what that opinion simply listen. Also think: who could order it and that he achieves. And further do conclusions.
Whether it is possible to trust forecasts of familiar traders?
No. One of laws of social psychology says: the more people are known by laws of social psychology, the less they are carried out. If the trader successful (I intend I do not speak:« Skilled »as experience at a stock exchange not always guarantees success. Sometimes experience stirs) that it if did not read about the above-stated law of social psychology intuitively it feels. Therefore, if it has found law in behaviour of the price it never begins to do by property of other people the knowledge. Not to break well working law. It itself will break in due course. When it is a lot of people to it doprut it is independent. What for to accelerate. At a stock exchange it is possible to make profit of knowledge of law only since itself has understood this law and only yes that time while too many people have not understood it. After too many people will understand this law, law will be replaced on what that another. And all it will be necessary to make a fresh start. In the market of gold process of action of law lasts about a month. Therefore it is impossible to trust its words. By the own words it intend you misinforms. It is possible to trust its acts. Try to repeat its actions at a stock exchange. Can at you there will be a success. But to learn that it really does at a stock exchange, it is necessary to be very close near it. And differently it will not turn out.
No. One of laws of social psychology says: the more people are known by laws of social psychology, the less they are carried out. If the trader successful (I intend I do not speak:« Skilled »as experience at a stock exchange not always guarantees success. Sometimes experience stirs) that it if did not read about the above-stated law of social psychology intuitively it feels. Therefore, if it has found law in behaviour of the price it never begins to do by property of other people the knowledge. Not to break well working law. It itself will break in due course. When it is a lot of people to it doprut it is independent. What for to accelerate. At a stock exchange it is possible to make profit of knowledge of law only since itself has understood this law and only yes that time while too many people have not understood it. After too many people will understand this law, law will be replaced on what that another. And all it will be necessary to make a fresh start. In the market of gold process of action of law lasts about a month. Therefore it is impossible to trust its words. By the own words it intend you misinforms. It is possible to trust its acts. Try to repeat its actions at a stock exchange. Can at you there will be a success. But to learn that it really does at a stock exchange, it is necessary to be very close near it. And differently it will not turn out.
Whether it is possible to entrust the money to the hired broker?
Well I do not know... Many trust. As to me to entrust the money to the person which action I cannot supervise, above my forces. Large spekuli otkupajut places at stock exchanges also put the brokers, which at them on the contract. Besides, cover their workplaces every possible systems of audiovisual and electronic control. What for they after all it do that? Means, there are reasons.
And they really are. As it is known, waves on the price schedule happen short – less days. Averages – about one month and long – over a month. And short happen very sharp. And so, any normal independent broker for what will not give short waves to you. This sacred. He on them will earn, using money of the clients. And, if not the lazy. And that will simply oversleep. And if you get it the calls and through the computer phone at it it is obligatory for this moment for you it will appear is occupied. And the server will hang.
The same will occur and at the moment of a panic at stock exchanges. When five minutes disappear and huge fortunes are created. Necessarily all phones of your broker will be occupied, and all servers will hang. And your broker will rivet at this time to itself money using yours. If itself not lohanyotsja.
On the schedule the broker most likely will give average waves to you. Especially if at you with it good relations and he them values, and average waves not so short. And long waves are already entirely yours. It too the sacred. From here a conclusion: at work through the broker not torment on short cycles also do not open wide on them companies. Waste of grey substance and nerves.
If you have bought securities they actually belong to your broker while you play them a stock exchange. If the broker is strongly roguish, it can by means of difficult manipulations simply translate your actions on itself(himself). In the west for it put, but not all and not always. And we, as far as I know, do not have any business on breach of confidence. Likely because the Russian brokers the most fair in the world. Well and still because also articles in ours UK such are not present. Too, probably, as superfluous. (Or article has already appeared?)
And if the broker is not so roguish, and you long do not make transactions at a stock exchange, it can play your actions at a stock exchange for itself(himself). If it the good broker you will not lose the actions. And if not so... Well, I do not know that the broker will speak to you in this case.
Well I do not know... Many trust. As to me to entrust the money to the person which action I cannot supervise, above my forces. Large spekuli otkupajut places at stock exchanges also put the brokers, which at them on the contract. Besides, cover their workplaces every possible systems of audiovisual and electronic control. What for they after all it do that? Means, there are reasons.
And they really are. As it is known, waves on the price schedule happen short – less days. Averages – about one month and long – over a month. And short happen very sharp. And so, any normal independent broker for what will not give short waves to you. This sacred. He on them will earn, using money of the clients. And, if not the lazy. And that will simply oversleep. And if you get it the calls and through the computer phone at it it is obligatory for this moment for you it will appear is occupied. And the server will hang.
The same will occur and at the moment of a panic at stock exchanges. When five minutes disappear and huge fortunes are created. Necessarily all phones of your broker will be occupied, and all servers will hang. And your broker will rivet at this time to itself money using yours. If itself not lohanyotsja.
On the schedule the broker most likely will give average waves to you. Especially if at you with it good relations and he them values, and average waves not so short. And long waves are already entirely yours. It too the sacred. From here a conclusion: at work through the broker not torment on short cycles also do not open wide on them companies. Waste of grey substance and nerves.
If you have bought securities they actually belong to your broker while you play them a stock exchange. If the broker is strongly roguish, it can by means of difficult manipulations simply translate your actions on itself(himself). In the west for it put, but not all and not always. And we, as far as I know, do not have any business on breach of confidence. Likely because the Russian brokers the most fair in the world. Well and still because also articles in ours UK such are not present. Too, probably, as superfluous. (Or article has already appeared?)
And if the broker is not so roguish, and you long do not make transactions at a stock exchange, it can play your actions at a stock exchange for itself(himself). If it the good broker you will not lose the actions. And if not so... Well, I do not know that the broker will speak to you in this case.
What of all above-stated conclusions follow?
It is some conclusions:
1) If at you is not present SPARE CASH in gamble do not climb. Money should be superfluous. That, if will lose, was annoyingly, but it is not tragic.
2) If for decision-making intellectual or psychological support (at least in the form of council) on a stock exchange is necessary to you and in general in business do not climb. Better simply spend with taste your spare cash. Business – not your path. The matter is that if you will arrive only «as all» also the result will be as at all. That is ordinary. The businessman is an inventor in social and economic area. Therefore business – not a trade. Trades can be taught. It is impossible to teach ingenuities. Therefore business schools and clever books can be useful to hired workers, but they will not make you the businessman.
3) Always remember the first rule of the test pilot: if do not know precisely that it is necessary to do – do not do anything! For that you would not make in this status, it only will worsen your position.
4) Remember a key rule for the businessman: Not torment on last losses. Think only of the future profits. It means the following: if were enclosed in a becoming cheaper resource, do not wait, while it again will start to rise in price to beat off the losses. Can not wait. Leave in kesh, having fixed losses (that would not grow any more) and be enclosed in other resource. Can this time you will not be mistaken.
It is some conclusions:
1) If at you is not present SPARE CASH in gamble do not climb. Money should be superfluous. That, if will lose, was annoyingly, but it is not tragic.
2) If for decision-making intellectual or psychological support (at least in the form of council) on a stock exchange is necessary to you and in general in business do not climb. Better simply spend with taste your spare cash. Business – not your path. The matter is that if you will arrive only «as all» also the result will be as at all. That is ordinary. The businessman is an inventor in social and economic area. Therefore business – not a trade. Trades can be taught. It is impossible to teach ingenuities. Therefore business schools and clever books can be useful to hired workers, but they will not make you the businessman.
3) Always remember the first rule of the test pilot: if do not know precisely that it is necessary to do – do not do anything! For that you would not make in this status, it only will worsen your position.
4) Remember a key rule for the businessman: Not torment on last losses. Think only of the future profits. It means the following: if were enclosed in a becoming cheaper resource, do not wait, while it again will start to rise in price to beat off the losses. Can not wait. Leave in kesh, having fixed losses (that would not grow any more) and be enclosed in other resource. Can this time you will not be mistaken.
And the last:
If everything that you here have read you does not invigorate, and results you in despondency do not go to business. You for it are not created. Be engaged than be another.
If everything that you here have read you does not invigorate, and results you in despondency do not go to business. You for it are not created. Be engaged than be another.
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